【2021年1月5日】【经济与金融系学术讨论会第107期】发更多的推送还是做更好的预测?
发布时间:01-04-21

时间:2021年1月5日(周二)12:00-13:00

地点:同济大厦A楼505室

题目:Write More Tweets or Make Better Forecast?发更多的推送还是做更好的预测?

主讲人:舒海兵(上海交通大学)

摘要:

Using hand-collected data on analysts’ activities on WeChat, we investigate how career concern distorts analysts’ effort allocation and its outcomes. We find analysts tend to write more WeChat tweets with more colorful expressions, promotion photos, and number of words when approaching next Star contest voting period. The effort on writing tweets significantly helps analysts win Star competition, while traditional effort like making more and better forecasts is useless. Instrumented by the number of months since last Star tournament, we find more effort on writing tweets leads to bolder but less accurate and informative earnings forecast and recommendations. Taking advantage of an exogenous shock which had led to the suspension of Star tournament, we find similar results using difference-in-differences analysis.

主讲人简介:

舒海兵,金融学助理教授,金融工程博士,毕业于中国科学技术大学,弗吉尼亚大学达顿商学院联合培养博士、博士后。舒海兵博士的学术研究主要集中在实证公司金融、公司治理和企业家创业领域,研究成果已发表在Review of Financial Studies、Journal of Financial Economics、Journal of Management Studies等学术期刊。

 

 

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